Louisiana Tech @ Baylor
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 97° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 19–36 F
Our pick Louisiana Tech +20.0Covered by 3.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -17.5 → now -20.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -20.0 | 50.0 |
| DraftKings | -19.5 | 50.5 |
| Draft Kings | -20.5 | 50.5 |
Baylor ML · Model 93% · Book 88% · value Baylor
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Louisiana Tech +20.0OC Spread Baylor -17.5OC Total 55.02.3 pts vs market
Louisiana TechPower ratingsBaylor
SP+Baylor by 11.1
-2.6
8.5
FPIBaylor by 12.7
-1.5
11.2
Elo (pts)Baylor by 8.5
-1.0
7.5
COREBaylor by 3.2
9.7
12.9
WEPABaylor by 3.4
6.6
10.0
SRSBaylor by 9.4
1.7
11.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Baylor's side
Game recap
| Metric | Louisiana Tech | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.390 | 0.362 |
| Explosiveness | 1.200 | 1.510 |
| Havoc | 0.174 | 0.182 |
| PPA | 0.027 | 0.212 |
| Field position | 66.500 | 64.200 |
Passing
- Trey Kukuk · Louisiana Tech25/44 · 223 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- Nate Bennett · Baylor20/23 · 210 yds · 7.8 aDOT
- Caden Knighten · Baylor1/1 · 3 yds · 2.0 aDOT