Option Country
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Louisiana Tech @ No. 8 LSU

9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM · SECN+ · 86° · Wind 7 mph · Rain Shower · 1445 F

Our pick Louisiana Tech +35.5Covered by 4.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -32.5 → now -34.5 · total 55.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-34.555.5
Bovada-35.055.0
Draft Kings-34.554.5

LSU ML · Model 99% · Book 97%

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Louisiana Tech +35.5OC Spread LSU -32.0OC Total 49.52.7 pts vs market
Louisiana TechPower ratingsLSU
SP+LSU by 29.4
-5.3
24.1
FPILSU by 29.2
-6.6
22.6
Elo (pts)LSU by 15.6
-3.8
11.8
CORELSU by 19.6
-4.2
15.3

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from LSU's side

  • 2025 · LSU 237unpriced
  • 2018 · LSU 3821unpriced
  • 2009 · LSU 2416unpriced
  • 2007 · LSU 5810unpriced
  • 2003 · LSU 4910unpriced

Game recap

MetricLouisiana TechLSU
Success rate0.1080.423
Explosiveness1.7001.360
Havoc0.2820.486
PPA-0.3570.047
Field position71.30054.900

Passing

  • Sam Leavitt · LSU25/38 · 367 yds · 10.4 aDOT
  • Blake Baker · Louisiana Tech11/21 · 128 yds · 7.0 aDOT
  • Landen Clark · LSU2/3 · 37 yds · 9.7 aDOT
  • Trey Kukuk · Louisiana Tech3/3 · 15 yds · -0.7 aDOT

Win probability