Option Country
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Louisiana Tech @ No. 8 LSU

9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM · SECN+ · 86° · Wind 7 mph · Rain Shower · 14–45 F

Our pick Louisiana Tech +35.5Covered by 4.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -32.5 → now -35.0 · total 55.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-34.554.5
Bovada-35.055.0

LSU ML · Model 99% · Book 97%

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Louisiana Tech +35.5OC Spread LSU -32.0OC Total 49.52.7 pts vs market
Louisiana TechPower ratingsLSU
SP+LSU by 27.8
-2.6
25.2
FPILSU by 26.2
-1.5
24.7
Elo (pts)LSU by 18.7
-1.0
17.7
CORELSU by 17.9
9.7
27.6
WEPALSU by 11.6
6.6
18.2
SRSLSU by 24.2
1.7
25.9

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from LSU's side

  • 2025 · LSU 23–7unpriced
  • 2018 · LSU 38–21unpriced
  • 2009 · LSU 24–16unpriced
  • 2007 · LSU 58–10unpriced
  • 2003 · LSU 49–10unpriced

Game recap

MetricLouisiana TechLSU
Success rate0.1080.423
Explosiveness1.7001.360
Havoc0.2820.486
PPA-0.3570.047
Field position71.30054.900

Passing

  • Sam Leavitt · LSU25/38 · 367 yds · 10.4 aDOT
  • Blake Baker · Louisiana Tech11/21 · 128 yds · 7.0 aDOT
  • Landen Clark · LSU2/3 · 37 yds · 9.7 aDOT
  • Trey Kukuk · Louisiana Tech3/3 · 15 yds · -0.7 aDOT

Win probability