Akron @ Miami (OH)
10/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 56° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 14–34 F
Our pick Miami (OH) -9.5Covered by 10.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -9.5 · total 47.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 47.5 |
| Bovada | -9.5 | 46.5 |
Miami (OH) ML · Model 91% · Book 76% · value Miami (OH)
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Akron
18
Our pick Miami (OH) -9.5OC Spread Miami (OH) -16.5OC Total 51.56.9 pts vs market
AkronPower ratingsMiami (OH)
SP+Miami (OH) by 20.9
-25.1
-4.2
FPIMiami (OH) by 13.5
-23.2
-9.8
Elo (pts)Miami (OH) by 16.4
-26.0
-9.7
COREMiami (OH) by 21.0
-21.8
-0.8
WEPAMiami (OH) by 9.0
-13.2
-4.2
SRSMiami (OH) by 14.1
-22.8
-8.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Miami (OH)'s side
- 2025 · Miami (OH) 20–7unpriced
- 2023 · Miami (OH) 19–0unpriced
- 2022 · Miami (OH) 27–9unpriced
- 2021 · Miami (OH) 34–21unpriced
- 2020 · Miami (OH) 38–7unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Akron | Miami (OH) |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.343 | 0.412 |
| Explosiveness | 1.350 | 1.490 |
| Havoc | 0.176 | 0.229 |
| PPA | -0.062 | 0.160 |
| Field position | 73 | 64.600 |
Passing
- Brayden Roggow · Akron22/38 · 229 yds · 8.5 aDOT
- Caleb Heavner · Miami (OH)8/16 · 65 yds · 9.7 aDOT