Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
10/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM · CBSSN · 58° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 10–23 F
Our pick Western Michigan -14.0Did not cover by 1.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -15.5 → now -14.0 · total 45.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -14.0 | 44.5 |
| Bovada | -14.0 | 45.0 |
Western Michigan ML · Model 92% · Book 83% · value Western Michigan
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Western Michigan -14.0OC Spread Western Michigan -17.0OC Total 49.03.2 pts vs market
Bowling GreenPower ratingsWestern Michigan
SP+Western Michigan by 15.5
-18.2
-2.7
FPIWestern Michigan by 13.9
-17.6
-3.6
Elo (pts)Western Michigan by 10.4
-11.0
-0.6
COREWestern Michigan by 7.6
-13.8
-6.2
WEPAWestern Michigan by 7.1
-8.5
-1.4
SRSWestern Michigan by 12.8
-15.0
-2.2
Game recap
| Metric | Bowling Green | Western Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.302 | 0.339 |
| Explosiveness | 1.410 | 1.280 |
| Havoc | 0.136 | 0.286 |
| PPA | -0.154 | -0.058 |
| Field position | 73.800 | 71.400 |
Passing
- Jay Kastantin · Bowling Green20/31 · 149 yds · 5.7 aDOT
- Broc Lowry · Western Michigan9/18 · 131 yds · 13.4 aDOT
- Brennan Ridley · Bowling Green0/1 · 0 yds · 12.0 aDOT
