Option Country
← Week 9 board

Bowling Green @ Western Michigan

10/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM · CBSSN · 58° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 10–23 F

Our pick Western Michigan -14.0Did not cover by 1.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -15.5 → now -14.0 · total 45.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-14.044.5
Bovada-14.045.0

Western Michigan ML · Model 92% · Book 83% · value Western Michigan

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Western Michigan -14.0OC Spread Western Michigan -17.0OC Total 49.03.2 pts vs market
Bowling GreenPower ratingsWestern Michigan
SP+Western Michigan by 15.5
-18.2
-2.7
FPIWestern Michigan by 13.9
-17.6
-3.6
Elo (pts)Western Michigan by 10.4
-11.0
-0.6
COREWestern Michigan by 7.6
-13.8
-6.2
WEPAWestern Michigan by 7.1
-8.5
-1.4
SRSWestern Michigan by 12.8
-15.0
-2.2

Game recap

MetricBowling GreenWestern Michigan
Success rate0.3020.339
Explosiveness1.4101.280
Havoc0.1360.286
PPA-0.154-0.058
Field position73.80071.400

Passing

  • Jay Kastantin · Bowling Green20/31 · 149 yds · 5.7 aDOT
  • Broc Lowry · Western Michigan9/18 · 131 yds · 13.4 aDOT
  • Brennan Ridley · Bowling Green0/1 · 0 yds · 12.0 aDOT

Win probability