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Kent State @ Sacramento State

10/31/2026, 2:30:00 AM · ESPN2 · 60° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 10–31 F

Our pick Sacramento State +7.5Covered by 28.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +10.0 → now +7.5 · total 47.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+7.547.5
Bovada+7.546.5

Sacramento State ML · Model 35% · Book 25% · value Sacramento State

Kent State travels 666 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Sacramento State +7.5OC Spread Sacramento State +4.5OC Total 48.03.1 pts vs market
Kent StatePower ratingsSacramento State
SP+Kent State by 7.8
-21.3
-29.1
FPIKent State by 6.5
-23.5
-30.1
Elo (pts)Sacramento State by 2.7
-21.1
-18.4
COREKent State by 2.8
-21.0
-23.8
WEPASacramento State by 0.6
-16.6
-16.0
SRSKent State by 7.1
-18.2
-25.3

Game recap

MetricKent StateSacramento State
Success rate0.2260.319
Explosiveness1.5401.250
Havoc0.1740.210
PPA-0.558-0.036
Field position72.90062.200

Passing

  • Dru Deshields · Kent State16/33 · 190 yds · 11.4 aDOT
  • Jackson Sharman · Sacramento State14/25 · 117 yds · 5.9 aDOT
  • Nolan Good · Kent State1/5 · 19 yds · 5.4 aDOT

Win probability