Western Michigan @ Toledo
10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM · CBSSN · 59° · Wind 3 mph · Fog · 38–45 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -3.0 → now -2.5 · total 48.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 48.5 |
| Bovada | -2.5 | 48.0 |
Toledo ML · Model 67% · Book 59% · value Toledo
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Toledo -5.0OC Total 51.52.3 pts vs market
Western MichiganPower ratingsToledo
SP+Toledo by 4.7
-2.7
2.0
FPIToledo by 1.1
-3.6
-2.5
Elo (pts)Toledo by 2.7
-0.6
2.2
COREToledo by 11.9
-6.2
5.8
WEPAToledo by 6.6
-1.4
5.1
SRSToledo by 2.0
-2.2
-0.2
Game recap
| Metric | Western Michigan | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.349 | 0.500 |
| Explosiveness | 1.730 | 1.180 |
| Havoc | 0.144 | 0.190 |
| PPA | -0.025 | 0.244 |
| Field position | 70.400 | 66.100 |
Passing
- John Alan Richter · Toledo29/41 · 385 yds · 10.2 aDOT
- Broc Lowry · Western Michigan12/29 · 207 yds · 11.7 aDOT