Ohio @ Sacramento State
10/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM · ESPN+ · 70° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 48–7 F
Our pick Ohio -16.5Covered by 24.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.5 → now +16.5 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +17.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | +15.5 | 46.5 |
Sacramento State ML · Model 6% · Book 15% · value Ohio
Ohio travels 535 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Ohio -16.5OC Spread Sacramento State +20.0OC Total 49.03.4 pts vs market
OhioPower ratingsSacramento State
SP+Ohio by 27.6
-1.5
-29.1
FPIOhio by 22.1
-8.0
-30.1
Elo (pts)Ohio by 15.5
-2.9
-18.4
COREOhio by 23.9
0.1
-23.8
WEPAOhio by 14.7
-1.3
-16.0
SRSOhio by 17.6
-7.7
-25.3
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.561 | 0.240 |
| Explosiveness | 1.300 | 0.930 |
| Havoc | 0.560 | 0.073 |
| PPA | 0.578 | -0.314 |
| Field position | 75.700 | 73.700 |
Passing
- Jackson Sharman · Sacramento State11/21 · 69 yds · 6.7 aDOT
- Nick Poulos · Ohio11/14 · 165 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Brian Salazar · Sacramento State4/5 · 71 yds · 6.0 aDOT
- Matt Vezza · Ohio1/4 · 6 yds · 10.8 aDOT