Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
10/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 53° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 34–14 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open +6.5 → now +7.5 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +7.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | +7.0 | 53.0 |
Eastern Michigan ML · Model 22% · Book 32% · value Toledo
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Eastern Michigan +9.0OC Total 50.01.8 pts vs market
ToledoPower ratingsEastern Michigan
SP+Toledo by 16.6
2.0
-14.6
FPIToledo by 13.5
-2.5
-16.1
Elo (pts)Toledo by 13.4
2.2
-11.2
COREToledo by 21.6
5.8
-15.9
WEPAToledo by 16.9
5.1
-11.8
SRSToledo by 13.9
-0.2
-14.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Eastern Michigan's side
- 2024 · Eastern Michigan 28–29unpriced
- 2023 · Eastern Michigan 23–49unpriced
- 2022 · Eastern Michigan 24–27unpriced
- 2021 · Eastern Michigan 52–49unpriced
- 2020 · Eastern Michigan 28–45unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Toledo | Eastern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.500 | 0.292 |
| Explosiveness | 1.090 | 1.480 |
| Havoc | 0.250 | 0.083 |
| PPA | 0.231 | -0.215 |
| Field position | 64.200 | 74.300 |
Passing
- Noah Kim · Eastern Michigan16/36 · 214 yds · 9.2 aDOT
- John Alan Richter · Toledo24/30 · 288 yds · 5.3 aDOT
- Brogan McCaughey · Eastern Michigan2/4 · 18 yds · 1.0 aDOT
- Jace Stuckey · Eastern Michigan2/3 · 10 yds · 7.0 aDOT