Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts
10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 61° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 20–19 F
Our pick Massachusetts +6.0Covered by 5.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +2.5 → now +6.0 · total 44.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +6.0 | 44.5 |
| DraftKings | +6.0 | 44.5 |
Massachusetts ML · Model 48% · Book 38% · value Massachusetts
Miami (OH) travels 666 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Massachusetts +6.0OC Spread Massachusetts +0.5OC Total 50.05.3 pts vs market
Miami (OH)Power ratingsMassachusetts
SP+Miami (OH) by 6.9
-4.2
-11.1
FPIMiami (OH) by 5.0
-9.8
-14.7
Elo (pts)Miami (OH) by 5.4
-9.7
-15.1
COREMiami (OH) by 8.0
-0.8
-8.7
WEPAMassachusetts by 0.5
-4.2
-3.7
SRSMiami (OH) by 5.2
-8.7
-13.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Massachusetts's side
- 2024 · Massachusetts 20–23unpriced
- 2023 · Massachusetts 28–41unpriced
- 2015 · Massachusetts 13–20unpriced
- 2014 · Massachusetts 41–42unpriced
- 2013 · Massachusetts 17–10unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Miami (OH) | Massachusetts |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.328 | 0.358 |
| Explosiveness | 1.380 | 1.430 |
| Havoc | 0.164 | 0.172 |
| PPA | 0.041 | 0.061 |
| Field position | 57.800 | 82.200 |
Passing
- Aedan McCarthy · Massachusetts15/29 · 171 yds · 18.2 aDOT
- Caleb Heavner · Miami (OH)6/20 · 95 yds · 10.4 aDOT
- Logan Inagawa · Massachusetts6/6 · 83 yds · 12.8 aDOT
- Damarion Witten · Miami (OH)0/1 · 0 yds · 18.0 aDOT