Kent State @ Western Michigan
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 75° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 7–38 F
Our pick Western Michigan -14.0Covered by 17.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.0 → now -14.0 · total 43.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -14.0 | 43.5 |
| DraftKings | -13.5 | 43.5 |
Western Michigan ML · Model 96% · Book 82% · value Western Michigan
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Western Michigan -14.0OC Spread Western Michigan -22.0OC Total 46.08.5 pts vs market
Kent StatePower ratingsWestern Michigan
SP+Western Michigan by 18.6
-21.3
-2.7
FPIWestern Michigan by 19.9
-23.5
-3.6
Elo (pts)Western Michigan by 20.6
-21.1
-0.6
COREWestern Michigan by 14.8
-21.0
-6.2
WEPAWestern Michigan by 15.2
-16.6
-1.4
SRSWestern Michigan by 16.0
-18.2
-2.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Western Michigan's side
- 2024 · Western Michigan 52–21unpriced
- 2021 · Western Michigan 64–31unpriced
- 2017 · Western Michigan 48–20unpriced
- 2016 · Western Michigan 37–21unpriced
- 2013 · Western Michigan 14–32unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Kent State | Western Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.321 | 0.481 |
| Explosiveness | 1.300 | 1.330 |
| Havoc | 0.154 | 0.283 |
| PPA | -0.039 | 0.368 |
| Field position | 75.100 | 68.600 |
Passing
- Dru Deshields · Kent State19/35 · 223 yds · 9.7 aDOT
- Broc Lowry · Western Michigan18/26 · 257 yds · 9.1 aDOT
- Trey Petty · Western Michigan1/2 · 5 yds · 0.5 aDOT