Central Michigan @ Ohio
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 62° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 14–31 F
Our pick Ohio -3.5Covered by 13.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -3.5 → now -2.5 · total 46.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -2.5 | 46.0 |
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 45.5 |
Ohio ML · Model 80% · Book 59% · value Ohio
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Ohio -3.5OC Spread Ohio -9.5OC Total 48.07.2 pts vs market
Central MichiganPower ratingsOhio
SP+Ohio by 15.2
-16.7
-1.5
FPIOhio by 6.7
-14.6
-8.0
Elo (pts)Ohio by 8.1
-11.0
-2.9
COREOhio by 13.6
-13.5
0.1
WEPAOhio by 4.6
-5.9
-1.3
SRSOhio by 5.4
-13.1
-7.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Ohio's side
Game recap
| Metric | Central Michigan | Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.370 | 0.625 |
| Explosiveness | 1.080 | 0.980 |
| Havoc | 0.188 | 0.259 |
| PPA | -0.282 | 0.351 |
| Field position | 73.600 | 66.900 |
Passing
- Angel H Flores · Central Michigan14/20 · 112 yds · 8.1 aDOT
- Nick Poulos · Ohio11/18 · 158 yds · 12.2 aDOT
- Jadyn Glasser · Central Michigan3/4 · 42 yds · 14.8 aDOT