Ohio @ Kent State
10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 64° · Wind 4 mph · Fog · 13–10 F
Our pick Ohio -5.5Did not cover by 2.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +5.5 → now +3.5 · total 51.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | +3.5 | 51.0 |
Kent State ML · Model 25% · Book 37% · value Ohio
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Ohio
29
Our pick Ohio -5.5OC Spread Kent State +8.0OC Total 50.54.3 pts vs market
OhioPower ratingsKent State
SP+Ohio by 19.8
-1.5
-21.3
FPIOhio by 15.6
-8.0
-23.5
Elo (pts)Ohio by 18.2
-2.9
-21.1
COREOhio by 21.1
0.1
-21.0
WEPAOhio by 15.3
-1.3
-16.6
SRSOhio by 10.5
-7.7
-18.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Kent State's side
- 2024 · Kent State 0–41unpriced
- 2023 · Kent State 17–42unpriced
- 2022 · Kent State 31–24unpriced
- 2021 · Kent State 34–27unpriced
- 2019 · Kent State 38–45unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Ohio | Kent State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.463 | 0.397 |
| Explosiveness | 0.690 | 1.010 |
| Havoc | 0.191 | 0.167 |
| PPA | -0.105 | -0.087 |
| Field position | 66.100 | 68.300 |
Passing
- Dru Deshields · Kent State20/35 · 217 yds · 8.7 aDOT
- Matt Vezza · Ohio4/9 · 38 yds · 12.0 aDOT
- Levi Davis · Ohio4/5 · 34 yds · 2.0 aDOT