Ball State @ Kent State
9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 66° · Wind 3 mph · Cloudy · 13–26 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -4.5 → now -2.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -2.5 | 51.5 |
Kent State ML · Model 66% · Book 58% · value Kent State
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Kent State -4.5OC Total 49.52.2 pts vs market
Ball StatePower ratingsKent State
SP+Ball State by 1.2
-20.1
-21.3
FPIBall State by 3.6
-20.0
-23.5
Elo (pts)Ball State by 5.0
-16.1
-21.1
COREBall State by 9.6
-11.3
-21.0
WEPABall State by 7.9
-8.7
-16.6
SRSBall State by 2.8
-15.4
-18.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Kent State's side
- 2025 · Kent State 13–17unpriced
- 2024 · Kent State 35–37unpriced
- 2023 · Kent State 3–34unpriced
- 2022 · Kent State 20–27unpriced
- 2019 · Kent State 41–38unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Ball State | Kent State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.268 | 0.338 |
| Explosiveness | 1.920 | 1.640 |
| Havoc | 0.088 | 0.179 |
| PPA | 0.058 | 0.194 |
| Field position | 81.600 | 64.700 |
Passing
- Tyler Mizzell · Ball State16/27 · 164 yds · 8.0 aDOT
- Dru Deshields · Kent State16/25 · 189 yds · 9.6 aDOT