Option Country
← Week 3 board

Ohio @ South Alabama

9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 84° · Wind 4 mph · Fair · 36–41 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open -4.5 → now -7.0 · total 49.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-7.050.0
DraftKings-7.049.5
Draft Kings-7.049.5

South Alabama ML · Model 66% · Book 67%

Ohio travels 688 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread South Alabama -4.5OC Total 53.02.4 pts vs market
OhioPower ratingsSouth Alabama
SP+Ohio by 10.0
-1.5
-11.5
FPIOhio by 1.8
-8.0
-9.7
Elo (pts)Ohio by 3.9
-2.9
-6.8
COREOhio by 10.2
0.1
-10.0
WEPAOhio by 4.2
-1.3
-5.4
SRSOhio by 0.8
-7.7
-8.5

Head-to-head

Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from South Alabama's side

Game recap

MetricOhioSouth Alabama
Success rate0.5000.437
Explosiveness1.4201.440
Havoc0.1410.183
PPA0.3820.391
Field position66.50066.100

Passing

  • Jared Hollins · South Alabama13/20 · 192 yds · 6.5 aDOT
  • Matt Vezza · Ohio12/16 · 113 yds · 8.1 aDOT
  • Levi Davis · Ohio9/15 · 121 yds · 12.0 aDOT

Win probability