Jacksonville State @ Ohio
9/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 77° · Wind 2 mph · Light Rain · 27–29 F
Our pick Jacksonville State +1.5Did not cover by 0.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -2.5 → now -2.0 · total 49.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -2.0 | 50.0 |
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 48.5 |
Ohio ML · Model 51% · Book 53%
Jacksonville State travels 431 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Jacksonville State +1.5OC Spread Ohio 0.0OC Total 49.01.4 pts vs market
Jacksonville StatePower ratingsOhio
SP+Ohio by 1.1
-2.6
-1.5
FPIJacksonville State by 1.2
-6.8
-8.0
Elo (pts)Jacksonville State by 1.8
-1.1
-2.9
COREOhio by 1.5
-1.3
0.1
WEPAJacksonville State by 1.9
0.7
-1.3
SRSJacksonville State by 2.7
-5.0
-7.7
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Ohio's side
- 2024 · Ohio 30–27unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Jacksonville State | Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.466 | 0.394 |
| Explosiveness | 1.230 | 0.980 |
| Havoc | 0.127 | 0.151 |
| PPA | 0.256 | 0.028 |
| Field position | 78 | 67 |
Passing
- Caden Creel · Jacksonville State18/24 · 265 yds · 4.0 aDOT
- Matt Vezza · Ohio10/13 · 80 yds · 3.0 aDOT
- Nick Poulos · Ohio2/5 · 16 yds · 4.4 aDOT
- Levi Davis · Ohio1/2 · 1 yds · -1.0 aDOT