Sacramento State @ Eastern Michigan
8/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 79° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 17–28 F
Our pick Sacramento State +9.0Did not cover by 2.0
Our total Under 52.5Covered by 7.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -9.5 · total 53.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -9.0 | 53.0 |
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 52.5 |
Eastern Michigan ML · Model 62% · Book 74% · value Sacramento State
Sacramento State off a byeEastern Michigan off a byeSacramento State +81 days restSacramento State travels 699 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Sacramento State +9.0Our total Under 52.5OC Spread Eastern Michigan -18.5OC Total 49.59.3 pts vs market
Win probability
Sacramento State 38%Eastern Michigan 62%
Sacramento StatePower ratingsEastern Michigan
SP+Eastern Michigan by 14.5
-29.1
-14.6
FPIEastern Michigan by 14.0
-30.1
-16.1
Elo (pts)Eastern Michigan by 7.2
-18.4
-11.2
COREEastern Michigan by 7.9
-23.8
-15.9
WEPAEastern Michigan by 4.2
-16.0
-11.8
SRSEastern Michigan by 11.2
-25.3
-14.1
Game recap
| Metric | Sacramento State | Eastern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.349 | 0.420 |
| Explosiveness | 1.030 | 1.260 |
| Havoc | 0.159 | 0.222 |
| PPA | -0.071 | 0.085 |
| Field position | 68.800 | 71.900 |
Passing
- Carson Conklin · Sacramento State26/47 · 233 yds · 6.7 aDOT
- Noah Kim · Eastern Michigan27/38 · 279 yds · 9.8 aDOT
