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Sacramento State @ Eastern Michigan

8/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 79° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 1728 F

Our pick Sacramento State +9.0Did not cover by 2.0

Our total Under 52.5Covered by 7.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -9.0 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Draft Kings-9.552.5
DraftKings-8.552.5
Bovada-9.053.0

Eastern Michigan ML · Model 62% · Book 74% · value Sacramento State

Sacramento State off a byeEastern Michigan off a byeSacramento State +81 days restSacramento State travels 699 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Sacramento State +9.0Our total Under 52.5OC Spread Eastern Michigan -8.5OC Total 51.00.7 pts vs market

Win probability

Sacramento State 38%Eastern Michigan 62%
Sacramento StatePower ratingsEastern Michigan
SP+Eastern Michigan by 6.1
-21.7
-15.6
FPIEastern Michigan by 7.0
-25.0
-17.9
Elo (pts)Sacramento State by 1.2
-7.0
-8.3
COREEastern Michigan by 0.4
-9.1
-8.7

Game recap

MetricSacramento StateEastern Michigan
Success rate0.3490.420
Explosiveness1.0301.260
Havoc0.1590.222
PPA-0.0710.085
Field position68.80071.900

Passing

  • Carson Conklin · Sacramento State26/47 · 233 yds · 6.7 aDOT
  • Noah Kim · Eastern Michigan27/38 · 279 yds · 9.8 aDOT

Win probability