New Mexico @ New Mexico State
9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 83° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 42–18 F
Our pick New Mexico -12.5Covered by 11.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +12.5 → now +11.5 · total 47.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +11.5 | 47.5 |
| Bovada | +11.5 | 47.5 |
New Mexico State ML · Model 6% · Book 21% · value New Mexico
New Mexico State off a byeNew Mexico State +7 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick New Mexico -12.5OC Spread New Mexico State +19.5OC Total 51.08.1 pts vs market
New MexicoPower ratingsNew Mexico State
SP+New Mexico by 22.7
9.3
-13.4
FPINew Mexico by 21.8
6.2
-15.6
Elo (pts)New Mexico by 18.4
6.7
-11.8
CORENew Mexico by 25.8
12.0
-13.8
WEPANew Mexico by 16.3
7.3
-9.0
SRSNew Mexico by 21.6
5.6
-16.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from New Mexico State's side
- 2025 · New Mexico State 20–38unpriced
- 2024 · New Mexico State 40–50unpriced
- 2023 · New Mexico State 27–17unpriced
- 2022 · New Mexico State 21–9unpriced
- 2021 · New Mexico State 25–34unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | New Mexico | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.468 | 0.313 |
| Explosiveness | 1.580 | 1.920 |
| Havoc | 0.333 | 0.128 |
| PPA | 0.488 | 0.060 |
| Field position | 52.500 | 78.200 |
Passing
- Adam Damante · New Mexico State17/20 · 162 yds · 5.5 aDOT
- Trey Hedden · New Mexico State7/19 · 106 yds · 11.3 aDOT
- Toa Faavae · New Mexico10/17 · 177 yds · 8.4 aDOT