New Mexico State @ Hawai'i
9/13/2026, 3:59:00 AM · MW+ · 78° · Wind 15 mph · Fair · 19–29 F
2nd & 8 at NMSU 11
Line movement
Home spread. Open -11.5 → now -7.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -7.5 | 50.0 |
| DraftKings | -7.5 | 50.5 |
Hawai'i ML · Model 79% · Book 74% · value Hawai'i
New Mexico State travels 3210 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Hawai'i -9.0OC Total 53.01.6 pts vs market
New Mexico StatePower ratingsHawai'i
SP+Hawai'i by 3.8
-13.4
-9.6
FPIHawai'i by 6.1
-15.6
-9.5
Elo (pts)Hawai'i by 8.5
-11.8
-3.3
CORENew Mexico State by 0.1
-13.8
-13.9
WEPANew Mexico State by 0.4
-9.0
-9.3
SRSHawai'i by 2.0
-16.0
-14.0
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Hawai'i's side
Game recap
| Metric | New Mexico State | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.471 | 0.434 |
| Explosiveness | 1.200 | 1.010 |
| Havoc | 0.118 | 0.235 |
| PPA | 0.110 | 0.133 |
| Field position | 81 | 66 |
Passing
- Micah Alejado · Hawai'i33/46 · 346 yds · 7.6 aDOT
- Trey Hedden · New Mexico State19/36 · 244 yds · 11.6 aDOT
- Tama Uiliata · Hawai'i1/1 · 7 yds · 7.0 aDOT
