Option Country
← Week 2 board

New Mexico State @ Hawai'i

9/13/2026, 3:59:00 AM · MW+ · 78° · Wind 15 mph · Fair · 1929 F

2nd & 8 at NMSU 11

Line movement

Home spread. Open -11.5 → now -7.5 · total 50.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-7.550.5
Bovada-7.550.0
Draft Kings-7.550.5

Hawai'i ML · Model 79% · Book 74% · value Hawai'i

New Mexico State travels 3210 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Hawai'i -9.0OC Total 53.01.6 pts vs market
New Mexico StatePower ratingsHawai'i
SP+Hawai'i by 9.2
-15.0
-5.8
FPIHawai'i by 4.7
-13.0
-8.3
Elo (pts)Hawai'i by 6.8
-9.6
-2.7
COREHawai'i by 0.1
-8.3
-8.2

Head-to-head

Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Hawai'i's side

Game recap

MetricNew Mexico StateHawai'i
Success rate0.4710.434
Explosiveness1.2001.010
Havoc0.1180.235
PPA0.1100.133
Field position8166

Passing

  • Micah Alejado · Hawai'i33/46 · 346 yds · 7.6 aDOT
  • Trey Hedden · New Mexico State19/36 · 244 yds · 11.6 aDOT
  • Tama Uiliata · Hawai'i1/1 · 7 yds · 7.0 aDOT

Win probability