Jacksonville State @ North Dakota State
8/29/2026, 9:30:00 PM · CBSSN · Indoors · 7–33 F
Our pick Jacksonville State +7.0Did not cover by 19.0
Our total Over 46.5Did not cover by 6.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -7.0 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -7.0 | 46.5 |
| DraftKings | -6.5 | 46.5 |
North Dakota State ML · Model 100% · Book 72% · value North Dakota State
Jacksonville State off a byeNorth Dakota State off a byeNorth Dakota State +474 days restJacksonville State travels 1072 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Jacksonville State +7.0Our total Over 46.5OC Spread North Dakota State -12.5OC Total 48.05.5 pts vs market
Win probability
Jacksonville State 0%North Dakota State 100%
Jacksonville StatePower ratingsNorth Dakota State
SP+North Dakota State by 11.2
-2.6
8.6
FPINorth Dakota State by 7.0
-6.8
0.1
Elo (pts)North Dakota State by 6.2
-1.1
5.1
CORENorth Dakota State by 7.0
-1.3
5.6
WEPANorth Dakota State by 4.1
0.7
4.7
SRSNorth Dakota State by 7.6
-5.0
2.6
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from North Dakota State's side
- 2015 · North Dakota State 37–10unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Jacksonville State | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.279 | 0.439 |
| Explosiveness | 1.070 | 1.160 |
| Havoc | 0.123 | 0.233 |
| PPA | -0.410 | 0.299 |
| Field position | 68.900 | 76.700 |
Passing
- Caden Creel · Jacksonville State12/23 · 85 yds · 8.0 aDOT
- Nathan Hayes · North Dakota State14/22 · 160 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Preston Brown · North Dakota State1/1 · 4 yds · 4.0 aDOT