South Alabama @ Kentucky
9/26/2026, 4:45:00 PM · SEC Network · 73° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 21–45 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -19.5 → now -20.5 · total 54.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -20.5 | 54.0 |
| DraftKings | -20.5 | 54.5 |
Kentucky ML · Model 96% · Book 90% · value Kentucky
South Alabama travels 548 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Kentucky -23.0OC Total 58.52.4 pts vs market
South AlabamaPower ratingsKentucky
SP+Kentucky by 22.1
-11.5
10.6
FPIKentucky by 22.7
-9.7
13.0
Elo (pts)Kentucky by 12.2
-6.8
5.4
COREKentucky by 23.1
-10.0
13.1
WEPAKentucky by 14.6
-5.4
9.1
SRSKentucky by 23.5
-8.5
15.0
Game recap
| Metric | South Alabama | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.345 | 0.613 |
| Explosiveness | 1.490 | 1.310 |
| Havoc | 0.129 | 0.236 |
| PPA | 0.014 | 0.456 |
| Field position | 68.500 | 65 |
Passing
- Jared Hollins · South Alabama23/43 · 266 yds · 9.2 aDOT
- Kenny Minchey · Kentucky19/25 · 177 yds · 5.0 aDOT
- Callum Wither · Kentucky0/1 · 0 yds · 17.0 aDOT