New Mexico State @ Florida State

8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM · CW · 81° · Wind 0 mph · Heavy Rain Shower · 17–34 F

Our pick New Mexico State +31.5Covered by 14.5

Our total Under 53.5Covered by 2.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -31.5 → now -31.0 · total 53.5

Book	Spread	Total
Bovada	-31.0	53.5
DraftKings	-30.5	53.5

Florida State ML · Model 45% · Book 96% · value New Mexico State

New Mexico State off a byeFlorida State off a byeNew Mexico State travels 1327 mi

OC Model projected score

Our pick New Mexico State +31.5Our total Under 53.5OC Spread Florida State -24.0OC Total 53.56.7 pts vs market

Win probability

New Mexico State 55%Florida State 45%

New Mexico StatePower ratingsFlorida State

SP+Florida State by 19.2

-13.4

5.8

FPIFlorida State by 23.6

-15.6

8.0

Elo (pts)Florida State by 14.8

-11.8

3.0

COREFlorida State by 11.1

-13.8

-2.7

WEPAFlorida State by 9.2

-9.0

0.3

SRSFlorida State by 19.3

-16.0

3.3

Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Florida State's side