UTEP @ North Dakota State
10/31/2026, 7:30:00 PM · MW+ · Indoors · 7–31 F
Our pick North Dakota State -27.5Did not cover by 3.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -27.5 → now -24.0 · total 43.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -23.5 | 44.5 |
| Bovada | -24.0 | 42.5 |
North Dakota State ML · Model 99% · Book 93% · value North Dakota State
UTEP off a byeUTEP +7 days restUTEP travels 1165 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick North Dakota State -27.5OC Spread North Dakota State -30.5OC Total 46.06.9 pts vs market
UTEPPower ratingsNorth Dakota State
SP+North Dakota State by 33.1
-24.5
8.6
FPINorth Dakota State by 24.8
-24.6
0.1
Elo (pts)North Dakota State by 25.3
-20.2
5.1
CORENorth Dakota State by 32.0
-26.4
5.6
WEPANorth Dakota State by 23.0
-18.2
4.7
SRSNorth Dakota State by 24.2
-21.6
2.6
Game recap
| Metric | UTEP | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.279 | 0.429 |
| Explosiveness | 1.510 | 1.270 |
| Havoc | 0.129 | 0.326 |
| PPA | 0.013 | 0.155 |
| Field position | 77.600 | 70.500 |
Passing
- Nathan Hayes · North Dakota State22/32 · 240 yds · 6.3 aDOT
- EJ Colson · UTEP11/16 · 64 yds · 9.8 aDOT
- Raymond Moore III · UTEP3/5 · 20 yds · 12.0 aDOT