New Mexico @ San José State
10/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM · MW+ · 66° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 21–16 F
Our pick New Mexico -14.5Did not cover by 9.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.5 → now +15.5 · total 43.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +15.5 | 43.5 |
| Bovada | +15.0 | 42.5 |
San José State ML · Model 9% · Book 16% · value New Mexico
New Mexico travels 863 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick New Mexico -14.5OC Spread San José State +16.5OC Total 43.51.1 pts vs market
New MexicoPower ratingsSan José State
SP+New Mexico by 20.6
9.3
-11.3
FPINew Mexico by 18.1
6.2
-11.9
Elo (pts)New Mexico by 12.1
6.7
-5.4
CORENew Mexico by 19.1
12.0
-7.1
WEPANew Mexico by 8.9
7.3
-1.5
SRSNew Mexico by 17.0
5.6
-11.4
Game recap
| Metric | New Mexico | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.492 | 0.263 |
| Explosiveness | 1.030 | 1.620 |
| Havoc | 0.263 | 0.148 |
| PPA | -0.096 | -0.182 |
| Field position | 71.800 | 61.400 |
Passing
- Luke Weaver · San José State16/23 · 190 yds · 10.4 aDOT
- Toa Faavae · New Mexico9/13 · 101 yds · 5.6 aDOT
- Dorian Patterson · New Mexico1/1 · 10 yds · -7.0 aDOT