San José State @ Nevada
10/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM · MW+ · 56° · Wind 6 mph · Fair · 13–28 F
Our pick Nevada -6.0Covered by 9.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -5.5 → now -6.0 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.0 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | -5.5 | 46.0 |
Nevada ML · Model 79% · Book 65% · value Nevada
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Nevada -6.0OC Spread Nevada -9.5OC Total 44.03.6 pts vs market
San José StatePower ratingsNevada
SP+Nevada by 8.2
-11.3
-3.1
FPINevada by 3.7
-11.9
-8.2
Elo (pts)Nevada by 1.7
-5.4
-3.7
CORESan José State by 1.2
-7.1
-8.3
WEPASan José State by 2.4
-1.5
-3.9
SRSNevada by 4.2
-11.4
-7.2
Game recap
| Metric | San José State | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.228 | 0.447 |
| Explosiveness | 1.160 | 0.990 |
| Havoc | 0.132 | 0.333 |
| PPA | -0.154 | 0.036 |
| Field position | 66.900 | 70.300 |
Passing
- Luke Duncan · Nevada18/29 · 178 yds · 8.1 aDOT
- Robert McDaniel · San José State6/13 · 48 yds · 12.9 aDOT
- Luke Weaver · San José State6/10 · 91 yds · 12.4 aDOT
- Daniel Rolovich · San José State0/3 · 0 yds · 11.0 aDOT