Option Country
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Hawai'i @ Northern Illinois

10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM · MW+ · 69° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 56–21 F

Our pick Hawai'i -4.0Covered by 31.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +6.5 → now +3.0 · total 49.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+3.048.5
Bovada+3.049.0

Northern Illinois ML · Model 16% · Book 39% · value Hawai'i

Hawai'i travels 4188 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Hawai'i -4.0OC Spread Northern Illinois +11.5OC Total 50.08.7 pts vs market
Hawai'iPower ratingsNorthern Illinois
SP+Hawai'i by 15.8
-9.6
-25.4
FPIHawai'i by 12.0
-9.5
-21.5
Elo (pts)Hawai'i by 13.6
-3.3
-16.9
COREHawai'i by 7.5
-13.9
-21.4
WEPAHawai'i by 3.8
-9.3
-13.2
SRSHawai'i by 8.0
-14.0
-22.0

Game recap

MetricHawai'iNorthern Illinois
Success rate0.6170.306
Explosiveness1.2801.960
Havoc0.2780.117
PPA0.5920.111
Field position67.70072.600

Passing

  • Micah Alejado · Hawai'i22/32 · 323 yds · 11.0 aDOT
  • Taron Dickens · Northern Illinois17/26 · 171 yds · 9.3 aDOT
  • Bjorn Jurgensen · Hawai'i1/2 · 6 yds · 11.5 aDOT

Win probability