UNLV @ Air Force
10/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 72° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 31–41 F
Our pick Air Force -0.5Covered by 9.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -0.5 · total 49.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 49.5 |
| Bovada | +1.0 | 48.5 |
Air Force ML · Model 62% · Book 49% · value Air Force
UNLV travels 601 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Air Force -0.5OC Spread Air Force -3.5OC Total 51.03.3 pts vs market
UNLVPower ratingsAir Force
SP+Air Force by 1.4
-2.2
-0.8
FPIUNLV by 0.4
-3.4
-3.8
Elo (pts)UNLV by 0.7
-0.9
-1.6
COREAir Force by 6.7
-5.3
1.4
WEPAAir Force by 2.0
-1.7
0.3
SRSAir Force by 2.3
-6.2
-3.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Air Force's side
Game recap
| Metric | UNLV | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.463 | 0.515 |
| Explosiveness | 1.180 | 1.210 |
| Havoc | 0.030 | 0.164 |
| PPA | 0.203 | 0.384 |
| Field position | 75.100 | 66.600 |
Passing
- Jackson Arnold · UNLV21/33 · 246 yds · 9.8 aDOT
- Evan Medders · Air Force2/3 · 18 yds · 13.3 aDOT