New Mexico @ Hawai'i
10/18/2026, 2:30:00 AM · FS1 · 78° · Wind 21 mph · Clear · 21–10 F
Our pick New Mexico -14.0Did not cover by 3.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.0 → now +14.5 · total 46.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +14.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | +14.5 | 45.5 |
Hawai'i ML · Model 6% · Book 17% · value New Mexico
New Mexico off a byeNew Mexico +7 days restNew Mexico travels 3223 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick New Mexico -14.0OC Spread Hawai'i +19.5OC Total 48.04.9 pts vs market
New MexicoPower ratingsHawai'i
SP+New Mexico by 18.9
9.3
-9.6
FPINew Mexico by 15.7
6.2
-9.5
Elo (pts)New Mexico by 10.0
6.7
-3.3
CORENew Mexico by 25.9
12.0
-13.9
WEPANew Mexico by 16.7
7.3
-9.3
SRSNew Mexico by 19.6
5.6
-14.0
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Hawai'i's side
Game recap
| Metric | New Mexico | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.344 | 0.373 |
| Explosiveness | 1.320 | 1.070 |
| Havoc | 0.269 | 0.115 |
| PPA | 0.008 | -0.054 |
| Field position | 71.900 | 70.700 |
Passing
- Micah Alejado · Hawai'i23/40 · 250 yds · 9.8 aDOT
- Toa Faavae · New Mexico5/10 · 59 yds · 14.9 aDOT
- Bailen George · New Mexico1/1 · 35 yds · 12.0 aDOT