Nevada @ North Dakota State
10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM · CBSSN · Indoors · 17–31 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -15.5 → now -14.5 · total 43.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -14.5 | 42.5 |
| Bovada | -14.0 | 43.0 |
North Dakota State ML · Model 86% · Book 84%
Nevada travels 1259 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread North Dakota State -12.5OC Total 45.51.6 pts vs market
NevadaPower ratingsNorth Dakota State
SP+North Dakota State by 11.7
-3.1
8.6
FPINorth Dakota State by 8.4
-8.2
0.1
Elo (pts)North Dakota State by 8.8
-3.7
5.1
CORENorth Dakota State by 13.9
-8.3
5.6
WEPANorth Dakota State by 8.6
-3.9
4.7
SRSNorth Dakota State by 9.8
-7.2
2.6
Game recap
| Metric | Nevada | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.293 | 0.394 |
| Explosiveness | 1.670 | 1.130 |
| Havoc | 0.113 | 0.172 |
| PPA | -0.061 | 0.159 |
| Field position | 70.900 | 65.900 |
Passing
- AJ Bianco · Nevada17/34 · 190 yds · 6.8 aDOT
- Nathan Hayes · North Dakota State19/25 · 153 yds · 5.6 aDOT
- Luke Duncan · Nevada0/2 · 0 yds · 12.0 aDOT