North Dakota State @ UNLV
10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM · CW · Indoors · 7–13 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.0 · total 47.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +2.5 | 47.5 |
| DraftKings | +3.0 | 47.5 |
UNLV ML · Model 45% · Book 43%
North Dakota State travels 1204 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread UNLV +1.5OC Total 46.51.4 pts vs market
North Dakota StatePower ratingsUNLV
SP+North Dakota State by 10.8
8.6
-2.2
FPINorth Dakota State by 3.5
0.1
-3.4
Elo (pts)North Dakota State by 6.0
5.1
-0.9
CORENorth Dakota State by 10.9
5.6
-5.3
WEPANorth Dakota State by 6.4
4.7
-1.7
SRSNorth Dakota State by 8.8
2.6
-6.2
Game recap
| Metric | North Dakota State | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.373 | 0.385 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 0.920 |
| Havoc | 0.154 | 0.203 |
| PPA | -0.133 | -0.032 |
| Field position | 72.800 | 71.100 |
Passing
- Nathan Hayes · North Dakota State12/22 · 124 yds · 13.1 aDOT
- Jackson Arnold · UNLV8/16 · 77 yds · 10.1 aDOT