Option Country
← Week 6 board

Nevada @ UTEP

10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM · FS1 · 83° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 30–13 F

Our pick Nevada -10.0Covered by 7.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +9.0 → now +10.0 · total 48.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+10.048.5
DraftKings+10.048.5

UTEP ML · Model 11% · Book 25% · value Nevada

Nevada off a byeNevada +6 days restNevada travels 919 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Nevada -10.0OC Spread UTEP +14.5OC Total 49.04.5 pts vs market
NevadaPower ratingsUTEP
SP+Nevada by 21.4
-3.1
-24.5
FPINevada by 16.4
-8.2
-24.6
Elo (pts)Nevada by 16.5
-3.7
-20.2
CORENevada by 18.1
-8.3
-26.4
WEPANevada by 14.3
-3.9
-18.2
SRSNevada by 14.4
-7.2
-21.6

Head-to-head

Last 4: SU 1-3 · ATS 0-0 from UTEP's side

  • 2019 · UTEP 21–37unpriced
  • 2002 · UTEP 17–23unpriced
  • 2001 · UTEP 31–48unpriced
  • 2000 · UTEP 45–22unpriced

Game recap

MetricNevadaUTEP
Success rate0.4460.186
Explosiveness1.1101.910
Havoc0.2560.162
PPA0.133-0.097
Field position72.60070.400

Passing

  • Raymond Moore III · UTEP16/26 · 132 yds · 7.3 aDOT
  • Carter Jones · Nevada11/19 · 82 yds · 8.3 aDOT
  • AJ Bianco · Nevada2/3 · 20 yds · 5.0 aDOT

Win probability