Air Force @ Northern Illinois
10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 71° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 28–7 F
Our pick Air Force -7.5Covered by 13.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +11.5 → now +7.0 · total 48.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +7.0 | 48.5 |
| DraftKings | +7.0 | 48.5 |
Northern Illinois ML · Model 9% · Book 24% · value Air Force
Northern Illinois off a byeNorthern Illinois +7 days restAir Force travels 867 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Air Force -7.5OC Spread Northern Illinois +16.0OC Total 50.59.2 pts vs market
Air ForcePower ratingsNorthern Illinois
SP+Air Force by 24.6
-0.8
-25.4
FPIAir Force by 17.7
-3.8
-21.5
Elo (pts)Air Force by 15.3
-1.6
-16.9
COREAir Force by 22.8
1.4
-21.4
WEPAAir Force by 13.4
0.3
-13.2
SRSAir Force by 18.1
-3.9
-22.0
Game recap
| Metric | Air Force | Northern Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.652 | 0.444 |
| Explosiveness | 0.860 | 0.920 |
| Havoc | 0.133 | 0.014 |
| PPA | 0.366 | -0.117 |
| Field position | 71.600 | 77.700 |
Passing
- Taron Dickens · Northern Illinois13/20 · 140 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Kemper Hodges · Air Force0/1 · 0 yds · 2.0 aDOT
