Option Country
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Air Force @ Northern Illinois

10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM · CBSSN · 71° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 28–7 F

Our pick Air Force -7.5Covered by 13.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +11.5 → now +7.0 · total 48.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+7.048.5
DraftKings+7.048.5

Northern Illinois ML · Model 9% · Book 24% · value Air Force

Northern Illinois off a byeNorthern Illinois +7 days restAir Force travels 867 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Air Force -7.5OC Spread Northern Illinois +16.0OC Total 50.59.2 pts vs market
Air ForcePower ratingsNorthern Illinois
SP+Air Force by 24.6
-0.8
-25.4
FPIAir Force by 17.7
-3.8
-21.5
Elo (pts)Air Force by 15.3
-1.6
-16.9
COREAir Force by 22.8
1.4
-21.4
WEPAAir Force by 13.4
0.3
-13.2
SRSAir Force by 18.1
-3.9
-22.0

Game recap

MetricAir ForceNorthern Illinois
Success rate0.6520.444
Explosiveness0.8600.920
Havoc0.1330.014
PPA0.366-0.117
Field position71.60077.700

Passing

  • Taron Dickens · Northern Illinois13/20 · 140 yds · 9.5 aDOT
  • Kemper Hodges · Air Force0/1 · 0 yds · 2.0 aDOT

Win probability