Wyoming @ North Dakota State
10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CW · Indoors · 0–28 F
Our pick North Dakota State -17.5Covered by 10.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -17.5 · total 44.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -17.5 | 44.5 |
| Bovada | -17.0 | 44.5 |
North Dakota State ML · Model 96% · Book 88% · value North Dakota State
North Dakota State off a byeNorth Dakota State +6 days restWyoming travels 581 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick North Dakota State -17.5OC Spread North Dakota State -22.0OC Total 46.04.6 pts vs market
WyomingPower ratingsNorth Dakota State
SP+North Dakota State by 15.9
-7.3
8.6
FPINorth Dakota State by 13.1
-13.0
0.1
Elo (pts)North Dakota State by 10.6
-5.5
5.1
CORENorth Dakota State by 11.5
-5.9
5.6
WEPANorth Dakota State by 9.4
-4.6
4.7
SRSNorth Dakota State by 15.5
-12.9
2.6
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from North Dakota State's side
- 2008 · North Dakota State 13–16unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Wyoming | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.282 | 0.523 |
| Explosiveness | 0.770 | 1.020 |
| Havoc | 0.200 | 0.179 |
| PPA | -0.333 | 0.250 |
| Field position | 70.600 | 73.500 |
Passing
- Nathan Hayes · North Dakota State14/25 · 187 yds · 11.3 aDOT
- Tyler Hughes · Wyoming5/14 · 52 yds · 5.6 aDOT