UTEP @ New Mexico
10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM · MW+ · 72° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 7–61 F
Our pick New Mexico -21.0Covered by 33.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -23.5 · total 48.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -23.5 | 47.5 |
| Bovada | -23.0 | 48.0 |
New Mexico ML · Model 99% · Book 92% · value New Mexico
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick New Mexico -21.0OC Spread New Mexico -35.0OC Total 50.511.9 pts vs market
UTEPPower ratingsNew Mexico
SP+New Mexico by 33.8
-24.5
9.3
FPINew Mexico by 30.8
-24.6
6.2
Elo (pts)New Mexico by 26.9
-20.2
6.7
CORENew Mexico by 38.4
-26.4
12.0
WEPANew Mexico by 25.6
-18.2
7.3
SRSNew Mexico by 27.2
-21.6
5.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from New Mexico's side
- 2022 · New Mexico 27–10unpriced
- 2021 · New Mexico 13–20unpriced
- 2014 · New Mexico 24–31unpriced
- 2013 · New Mexico 42–35unpriced
- 2010 · New Mexico 20–38unpriced
Game recap
Passing
- Toa Faavae · New Mexico15/20 · 249 yds · 10.4 aDOT
- EJ Colson · UTEP6/12 · 45 yds · 12.8 aDOT
- Raymond Moore III · UTEP1/5 · 34 yds · 13.8 aDOT
- Luke Moga · New Mexico2/4 · 13 yds · 9.3 aDOT