Northern Illinois @ Georgia State
9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 79° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 14–35 F
Our pick Georgia State -9.0Covered by 12.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -9.0 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -8.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | -9.0 | 56.5 |
Georgia State ML · Model 88% · Book 75% · value Georgia State
Northern Illinois travels 615 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Georgia State -9.0OC Spread Georgia State -14.0OC Total 54.55.4 pts vs market
Northern IllinoisPower ratingsGeorgia State
SP+Georgia State by 16.2
-25.4
-9.2
FPIGeorgia State by 12.3
-21.5
-9.2
Elo (pts)Georgia State by 10.3
-16.9
-6.6
COREGeorgia State by 19.4
-21.4
-1.9
WEPAGeorgia State by 14.4
-13.2
1.3
SRSGeorgia State by 16.5
-22.0
-5.5
Game recap
| Metric | Northern Illinois | Georgia State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.403 | 0.431 |
| Explosiveness | 1.360 | 1.550 |
| Havoc | 0.138 | 0.236 |
| PPA | -0.003 | 0.234 |
| Field position | 68.900 | 69.900 |
Passing
- Taron Dickens · Northern Illinois28/42 · 320 yds · 8.5 aDOT
- Cameran Brown · Georgia State14/21 · 148 yds · 10.6 aDOT
- DJ Riles · Georgia State1/1 · 50 yds · 35.0 aDOT