Air Force @ Nevada
9/27/2026, 2:30:00 AM · FS1 · 64° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 36–33 F
Our pick Nevada +5.5Covered by 2.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +4.5 → now +5.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +4.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | +6.0 | 50.5 |
Nevada ML · Model 48% · Book 35% · value Nevada
Air Force off a byeAir Force +7 days restAir Force travels 801 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Nevada +5.5OC Spread Nevada +0.5OC Total 53.04.8 pts vs market
Air ForcePower ratingsNevada
SP+Air Force by 2.3
-0.8
-3.1
FPIAir Force by 4.5
-3.8
-8.2
Elo (pts)Air Force by 2.0
-1.6
-3.7
COREAir Force by 9.8
1.4
-8.3
WEPAAir Force by 4.2
0.3
-3.9
SRSAir Force by 3.3
-3.9
-7.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Nevada's side
Game recap
| Metric | Air Force | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.430 | 0.388 |
| Explosiveness | 1.290 | 1.320 |
| Havoc | 0.164 | 0.081 |
| PPA | 0.264 | 0.113 |
| Field position | 73.600 | 75.400 |
Passing
- Carter Jones · Nevada18/30 · 224 yds · 10.3 aDOT
- Liam Szarka · Air Force5/13 · 92 yds · 15.8 aDOT
- AJ Bianco · Nevada0/1 · 0 yds · 9.0 aDOT