North Dakota State @ Sacramento State
9/20/2026, 2:30:00 AM · ESPN · 70° · Wind 2 mph · Fair · 31–10 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open +27.5 → now +26.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +26.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | +24.5 | 50.5 |
| Draft Kings | +26.5 | 50.5 |
Sacramento State ML · Model 3% · Book 6%
North Dakota State travels 1147 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Sacramento State +25.0OC Total 49.00.7 pts vs market
North Dakota StatePower ratingsSacramento State
SP+North Dakota State by 37.7
8.6
-29.1
FPINorth Dakota State by 30.2
0.1
-30.1
Elo (pts)North Dakota State by 23.5
5.1
-18.4
CORENorth Dakota State by 29.4
5.6
-23.8
WEPANorth Dakota State by 20.7
4.7
-16.0
SRSNorth Dakota State by 27.9
2.6
-25.3
Game recap
| Metric | North Dakota State | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.304 | 0.393 |
| Explosiveness | 1.960 | 1.090 |
| Havoc | 0.279 | 0.107 |
| PPA | 0.100 | -0.210 |
| Field position | 76.500 | 73.200 |
Passing
- Jackson Sharman · Sacramento State25/41 · 238 yds · 9.9 aDOT
- Nathan Hayes · North Dakota State14/24 · 210 yds · 13.8 aDOT
- Preston Brown · North Dakota State0/1 · 0 yds · 0.0 aDOT