Option Country
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UNLV @ Hawai'i

9/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM · CW · 81° · Wind 21 mph · Fair · 21–6 F

Our pick UNLV -3.0Covered by 12.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.0 · total 55.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+3.055.5
DraftKings+2.555.5

Hawai'i ML · Model 42% · Book 43%

UNLV travels 2753 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick UNLV -3.0OC Spread Hawai'i +4.5OC Total 50.51.7 pts vs market

Win probability

UNLV 58%Hawai'i 42%
UNLVPower ratingsHawai'i
SP+UNLV by 7.4
-2.2
-9.6
FPIUNLV by 6.1
-3.4
-9.5
Elo (pts)UNLV by 2.4
-0.9
-3.3
COREUNLV by 8.6
-5.3
-13.9
WEPAUNLV by 7.6
-1.7
-9.3
SRSUNLV by 7.8
-6.2
-14.0

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Hawai'i's side

Game recap

MetricUNLVHawai'i
Success rate0.3750.333
Explosiveness1.4301.250
Havoc0.2050.125
PPA0.160-0.061
Field position72.30076.900

Passing

  • Micah Alejado · Hawai'i17/41 · 186 yds · 8.5 aDOT
  • Jackson Arnold · UNLV8/18 · 116 yds · 8.7 aDOT
  • Bjorn Jurgensen · Hawai'i0/3 · 0 yds · 13.7 aDOT

Win probability