San José State @ Eastern Michigan
9/4/2026, 10:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 79° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 27–21 F
Our pick San José State +1.5Covered by 7.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -4.5 → now -1.5 · total 55.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 54.5 |
| Bovada | -1.5 | 55.0 |
Eastern Michigan ML · Model 62% · Book 41% · value Eastern Michigan
San José State travels 2040 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick San José State +1.5OC Spread Eastern Michigan +0.5OC Total 46.02.0 pts vs market
Win probability
San José State 38%Eastern Michigan 62%
San José StatePower ratingsEastern Michigan
SP+San José State by 3.3
-11.3
-14.6
FPISan José State by 4.1
-11.9
-16.1
Elo (pts)San José State by 5.8
-5.4
-11.2
CORESan José State by 8.8
-7.1
-15.9
WEPASan José State by 10.2
-1.5
-11.8
SRSSan José State by 2.7
-11.4
-14.1
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 2-0 · ATS 0-0 from Eastern Michigan's side
- 2022 · Eastern Michigan 41–27unpriced
- 1987 · Eastern Michigan 30–27unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | San José State | Eastern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.333 | 0.290 |
| Explosiveness | 1.580 | 1.100 |
| Havoc | 0.174 | 0.205 |
| PPA | 0.128 | -0.028 |
| Field position | 67.700 | 75.300 |
Passing
- Noah Kim · Eastern Michigan24/43 · 174 yds · 6.0 aDOT
- Luke Weaver · San José State23/40 · 316 yds · 8.7 aDOT
- Tama Amisone · San José State0/1 · 0 yds · 12.0 aDOT