Western Kentucky @ Nevada
9/6/2026, 2:30:00 AM · CBSSN · 61° · Wind 10 mph · Fair · 14–49 F
Our pick Nevada +0.5Covered by 35.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +2.5 → now +0.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -1.0 | 51.5 |
Nevada ML · Model 43% · Book 63% · value Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky off a byeNevada off a byeNevada +24 days restWestern Kentucky travels 1808 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Nevada +0.5OC Spread Nevada -9.0OC Total 47.59.1 pts vs market
Win probability
Western Kentucky 57%Nevada 43%
Western KentuckyPower ratingsNevada
SP+Nevada by 8.4
-11.5
-3.1
FPINevada by 5.7
-13.9
-8.2
Elo (pts)Nevada by 6.4
-10.1
-3.7
CORENevada by 10.3
-18.6
-8.3
WEPANevada by 7.5
-11.4
-3.9
SRSNevada by 6.9
-14.1
-7.2
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from Nevada's side
- 2025 · Nevada 16–31unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Western Kentucky | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.414 | 0.523 |
| Explosiveness | 0.890 | 1.800 |
| Havoc | 0.091 | 0.143 |
| PPA | -0.001 | 0.639 |
| Field position | 76.100 | 67.200 |
Passing
- Rodney Tisdale Jr. · Western Kentucky24/40 · 203 yds · 6.8 aDOT
- Carter Jones · Nevada9/15 · 163 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Marshaun Brown · Nevada0/1 · 0 yds · 32.0 aDOT