UAB @ South Florida
10/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 83° · Wind 4 mph · Heavy Rain Shower · 10–30 F
Our pick South Florida -9.5Covered by 10.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -7.5 · total 42.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -7.5 | 41.5 |
| DraftKings | -7.5 | 43.5 |
South Florida ML · Model 89% · Book 72% · value South Florida
UAB off a byeSouth Florida off a byeUAB travels 460 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
UAB
18
Our pick South Florida -9.5OC Spread South Florida -15.0OC Total 51.07.3 pts vs market
UABPower ratingsSouth Florida
SP+South Florida by 12.6
-10.4
2.2
FPISouth Florida by 11.8
-14.0
-2.2
Elo (pts)South Florida by 10.7
-5.2
5.5
CORESouth Florida by 0.5
-3.1
-2.5
WEPASouth Florida by 1.5
-2.9
-1.4
SRSSouth Florida by 10.3
-11.9
-1.6
Game recap
| Metric | UAB | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.270 | 0.345 |
| Explosiveness | 1.530 | 0.820 |
| Havoc | 0.109 | 0.317 |
| PPA | -0.027 | -0.060 |
| Field position | 71.800 | 67.100 |
Passing
- Ryder Burton · UAB13/27 · 149 yds · 8.7 aDOT
- Luke Kromenhoek · South Florida7/10 · 39 yds · -0.2 aDOT
- Nate Rogers · UAB1/1 · 11 yds · 1.0 aDOT