Florida Atlantic @ North Texas
10/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN · 71° · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy · 41–48 F
Our pick Florida Atlantic +15.5Covered by 8.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -12.5 → now -15.5 · total 78.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -15.5 | 78.5 |
| Bovada | -15.5 | 78.0 |
North Texas ML · Model 84% · Book 81%
Florida Atlantic travels 1124 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Florida Atlantic +15.5OC Spread North Texas -11.5OC Total 65.53.9 pts vs market
Florida AtlanticPower ratingsNorth Texas
SP+North Texas by 2.8
-3.4
-0.6
FPINorth Texas by 12.9
-10.7
2.2
Elo (pts)North Texas by 16.4
-9.9
6.5
CORENorth Texas by 16.3
-9.6
6.7
WEPANorth Texas by 13.2
-6.2
7.0
SRSNorth Texas by 11.2
-7.1
4.1
Game recap
| Metric | Florida Atlantic | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.414 | 0.477 |
| Explosiveness | 1.540 | 1.420 |
| Havoc | 0.081 | 0.138 |
| PPA | 0.156 | 0.269 |
| Field position | 71.600 | 67.400 |
Passing
- Caden Veltkamp · Florida Atlantic37/56 · 452 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Tayven Jackson · North Texas33/46 · 391 yds · 8.2 aDOT
- Easton Messer · Florida Atlantic0/1 · 0 yds · 35.0 aDOT