Kent State @ South Florida
10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 71° · Wind 4 mph · Heavy Rain Shower · 2–29 F
Our pick South Florida -20.5Covered by 6.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -20.5 → now -20.5 · total 46.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -20.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | -20.5 | 45.5 |
South Florida ML · Model 97% · Book 89% · value South Florida
Kent State travels 912 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick South Florida -20.5OC Spread South Florida -24.0OC Total 49.53.5 pts vs market
Kent StatePower ratingsSouth Florida
SP+South Florida by 23.5
-21.3
2.2
FPISouth Florida by 21.3
-23.5
-2.2
Elo (pts)South Florida by 26.6
-21.1
5.5
CORESouth Florida by 18.5
-21.0
-2.5
WEPASouth Florida by 15.2
-16.6
-1.4
SRSSouth Florida by 16.6
-18.2
-1.6
Game recap
| Metric | Kent State | South Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.328 | 0.444 |
| Explosiveness | 0.960 | 0.990 |
| Havoc | 0.222 | 0.194 |
| PPA | -0.360 | -0.021 |
| Field position | 77.100 | 61.700 |
Passing
- Dru Deshields · Kent State17/30 · 165 yds · 11.4 aDOT
- Nolan Good · Kent State0/3 · 0 yds · 20.0 aDOT