Option Country
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Tulsa @ Rice

10/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 71° · Wind 5 mph · Fair · 38–17 F

Our pick Tulsa -4.0Covered by 17.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open +4.0 → now +4.0 · total 47.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+3.547.5
Bovada+4.546.5

Rice ML · Model 25% · Book 37% · value Tulsa

Tulsa travels 446 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Tulsa -4.0OC Spread Rice +7.5OC Total 48.53.7 pts vs market
TulsaPower ratingsRice
SP+Tulsa by 12.0
-2.2
-14.2
FPITulsa by 10.2
-4.2
-14.4
Elo (pts)Tulsa by 6.8
-8.0
-14.8
CORETulsa by 13.1
1.0
-12.1
WEPATulsa by 9.7
2.3
-7.4
SRSTulsa by 9.7
-1.7
-11.4

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Rice's side

  • 2023 · Rice 42–10unpriced
  • 2013 · Rice 30–27unpriced
  • 2012 · Rice 24–28unpriced
  • 2011 · Rice 20–38unpriced
  • 2010 · Rice 27–64unpriced

Game recap

MetricTulsaRice
Success rate0.4760.413
Explosiveness1.3401.250
Havoc0.1110.206
PPA0.3040.087
Field position64.60080.100

Passing

  • Baylor Hayes · Tulsa20/27 · 249 yds · 9.4 aDOT
  • Jacurri Brown · Rice2/6 · 47 yds · 19.2 aDOT
  • Gael Ochoa · Rice2/2 · 15 yds · 7.5 aDOT

Win probability