Charlotte @ North Texas
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 90° · Wind 8 mph · Clear · 10–50 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -27.0 → now -28.0 · total 58.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -28.0 | 58.0 |
| DraftKings | -27.5 | 58.5 |
North Texas ML · Model 99% · Book 94% · value North Texas
Charlotte travels 948 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread North Texas -30.0OC Total 59.02.0 pts vs market
CharlottePower ratingsNorth Texas
SP+North Texas by 24.8
-25.4
-0.6
FPINorth Texas by 22.5
-20.3
2.2
Elo (pts)North Texas by 24.6
-18.2
6.5
CORENorth Texas by 20.7
-14.0
6.7
WEPANorth Texas by 18.5
-11.5
7.0
SRSNorth Texas by 28.9
-24.8
4.1
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 1-2 · ATS 0-0 from North Texas's side
- 2025 · North Texas 54–20unpriced
- 2020 · North Texas 21–49unpriced
- 2019 · North Texas 38–39unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Charlotte | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.303 | 0.513 |
| Explosiveness | 1.470 | 1.630 |
| Havoc | 0.077 | 0.424 |
| PPA | -0.164 | 0.723 |
| Field position | 77.400 | 64.800 |
Passing
- Tayven Jackson · North Texas24/31 · 349 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- Conner Harrell · Charlotte15/22 · 218 yds · 4.2 aDOT
- Chaston Ditta · North Texas4/8 · 33 yds · 12.0 aDOT
- Jaylen White · Charlotte0/1 · 0 yds · 2.0 aDOT
