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Temple @ South Florida

10/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPNU · 86° · Wind 2 mph · Overcast · 17–13 F

Our pick South Florida -6.0Did not cover by 10.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -5.5 → now -5.5 · total 49.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-5.550.5
Bovada-5.548.5

South Florida ML · Model 76% · Book 66% · value South Florida

Temple travels 924 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick South Florida -6.0OC Spread South Florida -8.0OC Total 57.02.4 pts vs market
TemplePower ratingsSouth Florida
SP+South Florida by 9.9
-7.7
2.2
FPISouth Florida by 7.4
-9.6
-2.2
Elo (pts)South Florida by 13.8
-8.2
5.5
CORESouth Florida by 3.5
-6.0
-2.5
WEPASouth Florida by 1.6
-3.0
-1.4
SRSSouth Florida by 9.5
-11.1
-1.6

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from South Florida's side

Game recap

MetricTempleSouth Florida
Success rate0.3330.412
Explosiveness1.2300.940
Havoc0.1030.137
PPA0.0620.009
Field position7076.700

Passing

  • Ajani Sheppard · Temple9/14 · 92 yds · 12.8 aDOT

Win probability