Navy @ Air Force
10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM · CBS · 75° · Wind 6 mph · Clear · 9–14 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -3.0 · total 45.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -3.0 | 45.0 |
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 45.5 |
Air Force ML · Model 64% · Book 57% · value Air Force
Navy travels 1516 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Spread Air Force -4.0OC Total 56.01.3 pts vs market
NavyPower ratingsAir Force
SP+Air Force by 0.8
-1.6
-0.8
FPIAir Force by 1.5
-5.3
-3.8
Elo (pts)Navy by 1.5
-0.2
-1.6
COREeven
1.4
1.4
WEPAeven
0.2
0.3
SRSAir Force by 2.3
-6.2
-3.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Air Force's side
Game recap
| Metric | Navy | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.286 | 0.338 |
| Explosiveness | 1.220 | 1.100 |
| Havoc | 0.095 | 0.122 |
| PPA | -0.013 | -0.149 |
| Field position | 75.900 | 70.100 |
Passing
- Jackson Gutierrez · Navy7/15 · 140 yds · 16.5 aDOT
- Liam Szarka · Air Force6/11 · 82 yds · 11.1 aDOT
- Braxton Woodson · Navy1/3 · 3 yds · 5.7 aDOT
- Evan Medders · Air Force0/1 · 0 yds · 34.0 aDOT