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Memphis @ Charlotte

10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM · ESPN+ · 75° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 59–8 F

Our pick Memphis -19.5Covered by 31.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +21.5 → now +19.5 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+18.552.5
Bovada+20.552.0

Charlotte ML · Model 3% · Book 11% · value Memphis

Memphis off a byeMemphis +7 days restMemphis travels 521 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Memphis -19.5OC Spread Charlotte +25.5OC Total 57.06.0 pts vs market
MemphisPower ratingsCharlotte
SP+Memphis by 32.4
7.0
-25.4
FPIMemphis by 24.1
3.7
-20.3
Elo (pts)Memphis by 25.6
7.4
-18.2
COREMemphis by 23.7
9.7
-14.0
WEPAMemphis by 17.8
6.4
-11.5
SRSMemphis by 26.3
1.5
-24.8

Head-to-head

Last 2: SU 0-2 · ATS 0-0 from Charlotte's side

Game recap

MetricMemphisCharlotte
Success rate0.6030.310
Explosiveness1.1701.810
Havoc0.3790.103
PPA0.3150.090
Field position72.10073.300

Passing

  • Marcus Stokes · Memphis20/25 · 328 yds · 7.8 aDOT
  • Cole Gonzales · Charlotte6/14 · 73 yds · 7.5 aDOT
  • Air Noland · Memphis5/6 · 68 yds · 4.5 aDOT
  • Jaylen White · Charlotte1/2 · 4 yds · 0.0 aDOT

Win probability