North Texas @ Tulsa
10/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM · ESPN · 70° · Wind 4 mph · Heavy Rain · 45–44 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now +2.0 · total 57.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +1.0 | 57.0 |
| DraftKings | +3.0 | 56.5 |
Tulsa ML · Model 53% · Book 3% · value Tulsa
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Tulsa
28
OC Spread Tulsa -1.0OC Total 56.02.8 pts vs market
North TexasPower ratingsTulsa
SP+North Texas by 1.6
-0.6
-2.2
FPINorth Texas by 6.5
2.2
-4.2
Elo (pts)North Texas by 14.5
6.5
-8.0
CORENorth Texas by 5.8
6.7
1.0
WEPANorth Texas by 4.7
7.0
2.3
SRSNorth Texas by 5.8
4.1
-1.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Tulsa's side
Game recap
| Metric | North Texas | Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.395 | 0.407 |
| Explosiveness | 1.530 | 1.200 |
| Havoc | 0.173 | 0.116 |
| PPA | 0.150 | 0.174 |
| Field position | 73.300 | 67 |
Passing
- Baylor Hayes · Tulsa25/43 · 211 yds · 6.8 aDOT
- Tayven Jackson · North Texas24/39 · 332 yds · 11.2 aDOT