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Florida Atlantic @ UL Monroe

9/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM · ESPN+ · 75° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 45–17 F

Our pick Florida Atlantic -11.5Covered by 16.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +13.5 → now +11.5 · total 58.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+11.558.5
Bovada+11.558.0

UL Monroe ML · Model 8% · Book 20% · value Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic travels 835 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Florida Atlantic -11.5OC Spread UL Monroe +17.0OC Total 57.55.5 pts vs market
Florida AtlanticPower ratingsUL Monroe
SP+Florida Atlantic by 20.8
-3.4
-24.2
FPIFlorida Atlantic by 15.0
-10.7
-25.6
Elo (pts)Florida Atlantic by 9.3
-9.9
-19.2
COREFlorida Atlantic by 11.2
-9.6
-20.8
WEPAFlorida Atlantic by 8.1
-6.2
-14.3
SRSFlorida Atlantic by 16.1
-7.1
-23.2

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from UL Monroe's side

Game recap

MetricFlorida AtlanticUL Monroe
Success rate0.5140.311
Explosiveness1.2701.830
Havoc0.1560.100
PPA0.3470.218
Field position75.40075.300

Passing

  • Caden Veltkamp · Florida Atlantic30/39 · 318 yds · 8.0 aDOT
  • Aidan Armenta · UL Monroe23/29 · 278 yds · 7.2 aDOT
  • Drew Devillier · Florida Atlantic2/4 · 19 yds · 10.0 aDOT
  • Landon Graves · UL Monroe0/1 · 0 yds · 10.0 aDOT

Win probability