Louisiana @ Charlotte
9/26/2026, 10:30:00 PM · ESPN+ · 63° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 34–7 F
Our pick Louisiana -9.5Covered by 17.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.5 → now +9.5 · total 49.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +9.5 | 49.5 |
| Bovada | +9.0 | 49.5 |
Charlotte ML · Model 9% · Book 23% · value Louisiana
Louisiana travels 744 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Louisiana -9.5OC Spread Charlotte +16.5OC Total 52.07.0 pts vs market
LouisianaPower ratingsCharlotte
SP+Louisiana by 25.8
0.4
-25.4
FPILouisiana by 17.7
-2.6
-20.3
Elo (pts)Louisiana by 17.9
-0.2
-18.2
CORELouisiana by 16.9
2.9
-14.0
WEPALouisiana by 15.5
4.0
-11.5
SRSLouisiana by 24.7
-0.1
-24.8
Game recap
| Metric | Louisiana | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.395 | 0.233 |
| Explosiveness | 0.990 | 0.360 |
| Havoc | 0.326 | 0.198 |
| PPA | -0.035 | -0.532 |
| Field position | 58.500 | 77.600 |
Passing
- D'Wayne' Winfield · Louisiana19/26 · 149 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Cole Gonzales · Charlotte9/16 · 68 yds · 7.6 aDOT
- Conner Harrell · Charlotte8/13 · 43 yds · 4.3 aDOT
- Daniel Beale · Louisiana1/2 · 10 yds · 0.5 aDOT